The "Third China" in the 21st Century

Opinions/Analysis

China Deconstructs: The "One China" Dilemma

April 17, 2010
Hong Kong Economic Journal

BOOK REVIEW

The "One China" Dilemma
Edited by Peter C.Y. Chow
Palgrave Macmillan, 2008, 336 pages, US$95.00

Reviewed by John J. Tkacik

When China ruled the seas 600 years ago, between 1407 and 1433, the "treasure fleets" (baochuan 寶船) of the Ming emperor Yongle (永樂) transited the Taiwan Strait fourteen times.


Tkacik says Taiwan to lose comparative advantage if it signs ECFA

April 30, 2010
Liberty Times - Taiwan

Tkacik says Taiwan to lose comparative advantage if it signs ECFA

譚慎格:簽ECFA 台灣將失原有優勢

〔駐美特派員曹郁芬/華府二十八日報導〕美國學者譚慎格今天表示,台灣如果和中國先簽署ECFA,再和美國簽自由貿易協定(FTA),就等於為中國打開一道自由貿易的後門,讓他對支持美台簽署FTA持保留態度。
譚慎格說,台灣的產業外移現象雖早已發生,但台灣的半導體和高科技產業在兩岸簽署ECFA後,會加速往中國移轉,讓台灣失去原本的經濟優勢,而且白領階級來台灣搶工作機會的情況會增加。

台若被併吞 不符美利益

他批評,兩岸ECFA的談判太神秘,等大家看到最後結果會太晚了。
台灣人公共事務會今天在國會舉辦美台FTA座談會,邀請譚慎格與美國前亞太副助卿薛瑞福出席。

薛瑞福表示,他不反對兩岸簽署貿易協定,但談判和簽署過程應該透明,且對台灣人民有利,最重要的是,台灣要有避險計劃,不能因為ECFA完全依賴中國。


Letter to the Editor: China's industrial might

April 19, 2010

The perception of 44 percent of Americans that "China is already the world's top economic power," while modestly inaccurate, alas is not so "completely at odds with the facts," as Arthur Kroeber would have your readers believe ["Five myths about China's economy," Outlook, April 11]. In pure exchange rate terms, China's $5 trillion gross domestic product is about a third of America's $14 trillion economy. But as most economists would admit, China's renminbi currency is grossly undervalued.


The Rising Chinese Superpower

April 19, 2010
Public Affairs Luncheon Group of Dallas, Texas

 The Rising Chinese Superpower

By John J. Tkacik, Jr.

Thank you Joan. The last time I spoke to you all here at the Dallas Public Affairs Luncheon Club was on January 16, 2006. Perhaps some of you here this afternoon remember me from four years ago -- I’m afraid that my presentation was pretty pessimistic. I confess, I had a number of skeptical -- if not hostile -- questions from you-all in the audience.


Sea of Blood, Year of Friendship: China-North Korean Relations in 2009

June 12, 2009
Jamestown China Brief

[Unedited]

Sea of Blood, Year of Friendship: China-North Korean Relations in 2009
 

By John J. Tkacik, Jr.

It is apparent that North Korea had been preparing for the May 25 nuclear weapons test since late last year, after the U.S. presidential election and while North Korea's "Dear Leader" Kim Jong Il was recuperating from a debilitating stroke he suffered last summer. And it seems that the Chinese leadership was well aware of the internal political dynamics propelling Pyongyang toward a nuclear bomb.


The Taiwan Conundrum: Maritime Security Capacity Building in East Asia Before a Taiwan Strait Settlement

March 10, 2010
Papers in Australian Maritime Affairs No. 30

 The Taiwan Conundrum:
Maritime Security Capacity Building in East Asia Before a Taiwan Strait Settlement

By John J. Tkacik, Jr.


Hu you gonna to call? Pyongyang gets Chinese advice on Bill Clinton

August 17, 2009
Draft

 Hu you gonna to call? Pyongyang gets Chinese advice on Bill Clinton

By John J. Tkacik, Jr.


Visits by top China delegations to Pyongyang coincided with Clinton's

September 9, 2009
GeoStrategy Direct

by John J. Tkacik

The curious appearances in Pyongyang of senior Chinese propaganda and intelligence delegations simultaneous to Bill Clinton's early August visit coincided with false rumors that China had halted "vanadium" shipments to North Korea and had shut down a copper mine operation in the country. The Clinton visit turned out to be a propaganda coup for "Dear Leader" Kim Jong Il. Is there more to China-North Korea amity than meets the untrained eye?


Media Analysis: China Ties with North Korea Undiminished

September 22, 2009
Unpublished

Media Analysis: China Ties with North Korea Undiminished

 


Technology Transfer from Taiwan to China: Is there a Risk?

April 4, 2003
Unpublished Remarks for Panel Discussion

 Technology Transfer from Taiwan to China: Is there a Risk?

by John J. Tkacik, Jr.

For two decades, American foreign policy operated on the premise that trade with China would have an inevitable liberalizing effect. This persisted after the Tiananmen crisis, and even after the 1996 Taiwan Strait missile crisis when Beijing attempted to intimidate Taiwanese voters from casting ballots for President Lee Teng-hui. It was at the foundation of Clinton's China policy and apparently undergirds the Bush policy as well.


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